Colombia arrive on a mixed run - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in five - but their defensive record is the standout: 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and BTTS triggered just once. Peru have lost 3 of their last 5 and kept zero clean sheets, yet they do score regularly, netting in 4 of 5 outings. The head-to-head complicates things: 3 BTTS in 5 meetings, including a 3-2 thriller in 2021.
The key numbers: Colombia conceded in just 2 of their last 5, while Peru scored in 4 of 5. But in the two most recent h2h clashes, both ended with at least one blank side - a 0-0 and a 1-1 where Colombia failed to score. Colombia's last 5 produced 0 games over 2.5 goals total.
The model leans BTTS No at 1.52 (Marathon). Colombia's defensive discipline at home - 3 clean sheets in 5 - combined with a low-scoring h2h trend points to at least one side being shut out. The price is short but the case is solid. Alt: Under 2.5 at 1.71.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 06.06.25 | CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 07.09.24 | CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 28.01.22 | WC Qualification South America | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 10.07.21 | Copa America | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 21.06.21 | Copa America | 1–2 | O2.5 |
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