Round 3 in Liga MX, and Club Leon is already in trouble. Two losses in their opening competitive matches, zero clean sheets across all four recent games, and Angel Estrada out injured. Pachuca arrive with three wins from five, two clean sheets, and a model that puts them at 85% to take all three points.
The numbers back the visitors hard. Leon has conceded in all 4 of their recent matches and scored in only 3. Pachuca's DNB price of 1.65 reflects their edge, and with the model pricing the away win at 85%, the bookmakers are not far off. Only one h2h on record, so we lean on form and model alignment here.
Pachuca DNB at 1.65 is the play. Leon offers no defensive solidity and no momentum. The visitors are the cleaner, more composed side right now. Back Pachuca to win and protect against the draw.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 14.01.26 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 24.08.25 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.02.25 | Liga MX | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 14.07.24 | Liga MX | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 08.02.24 | Liga MX | 3–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service