Club America arrive in this Leagues Cup semi-final on a perfect five-from-five run, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 2. Monterrey, by contrast, have kept zero clean sheets in their last five outings and conceded in all five of them. The model puts America's win probability at 78%, making the Draw No Bet at 1.62 a clear point of value. Two numbers drive the case: America's 3 clean sheets in 5 games versus Monterrey's 0 in 5, and a head-to-head record showing America winning 2 of the last 4 meetings at home. Injuries to Malagon, Davila and Zendejas add some uncertainty, but the gap in defensive solidity is too wide to ignore. DNB Home at 1.62 is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Liga MX | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 30.11.25 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 27.11.25 | Liga MX | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.09.25 | Liga MX | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 17.04.25 | Liga MX | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service