Chippenham host Yate Town in what is effectively a second replay, with the first leg four days ago finishing goalless. Neither side is in dominant form: Chippenham have won two of their last five, while Yate Town have also taken two wins in five, losing twice in the Non League Premier. The home side kept just one clean sheet in their last five outings, conceding in four of them. Context matters here - this is a tight local rivalry with nothing separating the sides on paper.
The head-to-head record across two meetings this season reads two draws, one goal apiece, zero matches over 2.5 goals. Chippenham scored in only one of those two h2h fixtures. Yate Town have kept two clean sheets in their last five, and their three away BTTS games came against open opposition. This fixture has the fingerprints of another low, scrappy, attritional contest.
With odds unavailable, the play on form and h2h is DRAW on the 1X2. If the match goes to extra time or penalties, so be it - the data points to stalemate at 90 minutes. Confidence is modest given the small sample, but the pattern is consistent.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.09.26 | FA Cup | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.08.26 | Non League Premier | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 10.07.23 | Club Friendlies | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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