Charlotte arrive in dominant form, back-to-back Leagues Cup wins over UNAM Pumas (3-0) and Atlas (2-0), keeping three clean sheets in their last five. Pachuca are in freefall: four losses in five, conceding eight goals across those games, and they have shipped at least one in four of their last five matches. The model puts Charlotte's win probability at 92% and assigns just 1% to a Pachuca victory.
The key numbers: Charlotte have scored in all five recent outings (scored_in: 5) while conceding in only two. Pachuca have conceded in four of five and posted zero clean sheets in this Leagues Cup run. Over 2.5 goals lands in three of Charlotte's last five and four of Pachuca's, with the model at 89% for the over.
Draw No Bet HOME at 1.38 (bet365) is the primary play. The gap in form and the model's 92% win probability make the insurance worthwhile at this price. For more edge, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is the alt.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service