Montreal arrive at this one battered and leaking goals after conceding 13 in their last five across all competitions, with zero clean sheets in that run. Charlotte, by contrast, have not lost in five, picking up three wins and two draws while scoring 11 and conceding just five. The visitors have a squad with something to prove on the road.
The numbers back the visitors hard. Montreal's defence has conceded in all 5 of their last 5, while Charlotte scored in 4 of their last 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. The model gives Charlotte a 53 percent chance of winning, yet the away price sits at 2.88, well above fair value. One h2h on record ended 4-1 to Montreal in Charlotte, but that context is thin and current form screams otherwise.
Give me Charlotte on the straight win at 2.88. Montreal's defensive frailty is alarming, Charlotte are clicking, and the price is generous for a side unbeaten in five. Back the away win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 28.09.25 | MLS | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 13.04.25 | MLS | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.10.24 | MLS | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 15.09.24 | MLS | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 16.07.23 | MLS | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service