Round 1 at Balaidos, and both sides arrive carrying a season's worth of unfinished business. Celta are unbeaten in five recent outings while Osasuna come off a goalless draw at home to Levante, but history between these two suggests the scoreboard will move.
The head-to-head numbers are the headline: 4 of the last 5 meetings went over 2.5 goals, with 17 goals shared across those five clashes. Celta scored in all 5 of those h2h fixtures and Osasuna kept only 2 clean sheets. Recent form backs the trend too - Osasuna conceded in 4 of their last 5, and Celta found the net in 4 of theirs.
At 2.10-2.15, Over 2.5 carries real value for a rivalry this open. The alt is Osasuna DNB at 2.85-2.95: they have won away in this fixture and Celta's attack, while lively, has wobbled. Back the goals first, the visitors as a hedge.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 06.02.26 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | La Liga | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 21.02.25 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.09.24 | La Liga | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 04.02.24 | La Liga | 0–3 | O2.5 |
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