Celta Vigo arrive at this Europa League tie having won just once in their last five across all competitions, picking up three draws and a defeat to Omonia in the competition itself. Four first-team absentees compound the problem. Juventus lost to Cremonese in a friendly and dropped points at Cagliari, but their 5-0 win over Nijmegen in round one shows they can deliver when the stakes are clear. Six absentees including Locatelli, Thuram and Yildiz are a concern, yet the squad depth is still superior. Celta have scored in only 3 of their last 5 games; Juventus have scored in 4 of 5. At 1.50 (DNB away, bet365), Juventus DNB is the call. The price is thin but the structural edge is real.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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