Celje host Ararat-Armenia in a Champions League second leg having lost the first leg 1-2 in Yerevan. The Slovenians have drawn three of their last five across all competitions, conceding in four of those five outings. Ararat arrive in strong form, winning four of their last five with 11 goals scored in that run.
The numbers point firmly toward goals. Celje produced BTTS in four of their last five matches; Ararat matched that exactly. Over 2.5 landed in three of Celje's last five and in four of Ararat's last five. The sole head-to-head on record finished 2-1 with both teams scoring. Markets price Over 2.5 at 1.73, which looks fair but not generous. BTTS at 1.83-1.91 is the more attractive entry point given the consistency of both sides in finding the net.
The call is BTTS Yes at 1.91 (bet365). Both teams have scored in all five recent matches, and a Celje side chasing a deficit has every incentive to push forward. Ararat have the firepower to punish any gaps left. This is a 3/5 conviction play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.08.26 | UEFA Champions League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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