Cagliari enter this Coppa Italia last-16 tie as a Serie A side hosting a Verona outfit that has dropped to Serie B. Three clean sheets in their last five outings and a tight defensive shape make the Sardinians hard to beat on their own patch. Verona arrive without Belghali and Mosquera, two attacking options already missing before a ball is kicked.
The head-to-head numbers tell a clear story: Cagliari have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 in the last five meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3. At home in that run they beat Verona 4-0 in January and 1-0 in November. Cagliari kept 3 clean sheets across those five h2h games, and their recent form shows 3 clean sheets in 5 matches too.
Verona at 3.95 with 10Bet reflects the gulf in class here. Cagliari DNB at 1.40 is the safer route, but the away win price is the bigger swing I want. Cagliari to win: 1.90-1.95.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 31.01.26 | Serie A | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 28.04.25 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 29.11.24 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.04.24 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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