Coppa Italia round of 32, and a Serie A side opening its cup campaign against a club two divisions below. Cagliari arrive unbeaten in five, with wins over Torino and AC Milan still fresh in the legs and the confidence that comes with them. Arezzo just beat Brescia 2-0 to get here, credit where it is due, but that was their only win in five outings.
Cagliari scored in 4 of their last 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Arezzo conceded in 4 of their last 5 and have shipped 8 goals across the same run. The class gap is real: Cagliari are priced at 1.33-1.36 to win, while Arezzo sit at 8-9. The AH -1.5 for Cagliari lands at 2.05.
A Serie A squad at home, a Riyad Idrissi absence that barely changes the equation, and a visitor leaking goals. I want the bigger number. Back Cagliari AH -1.5 at 2.05.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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