Buxton arrive at this FA Cup semi-final on the back of a 0-4 loss at South Shields just seven days ago, their second heavy defeat in five outings. Three wins in that stretch keep them respectable, but the goals-against column reads nine in five. South Shields, meanwhile, scored 15 in their last five, including a 7-0 cup demolition of Witton, and carry the better attacking momentum into a neutral-ground tie.
The head-to-head record over five meetings gives Buxton one win, two draws and two losses, with South Shields outscoring them 8-4 in aggregate. Away form for the Shields shows goals in 4 of their last 5 games, and all 5 of those matches cleared 2.5 goals. Buxton kept a clean sheet only once in the same h2h run.
South Shields at 1.96-2.00 represents genuine value given the recent 4-0 result and the h2h weight. DNB away at 1.52 (Marathon) is the cleaner vehicle; the 1X2 away price near 2.00 is the main play at a touch more reward.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 26.09.26 | National League N / S | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 02.05.26 | National League N / S | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.01.26 | National League N / S | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 30.08.25 | National League N / S | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 11.02.25 | National League N / S | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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