Bury arrive at this FA Cup semi-final in devastating home form, winning four of their last five with a goal difference of plus 22 across those matches. Three clean sheets in five underlines a defensive solidity that Bromsgrove, unbeaten in their last five but scoring only eight goals in that run, will struggle to breach. The gulf in attacking output is the story here.
Bury's last five games produced 25 goals for and only 3 against, with every single match going over 2.5. Bromsgrove hit over 2.5 in just 2 of their last 5. The market prices Bury at 1.71-1.75, which looks fair given the firepower gap. Draw No Bet on Bury at 1.33 (Marathon) removes the unlikely but non-zero draw risk.
The main play is Bury DNB at 1.33. At that price you are essentially getting insurance on a side that has outscored opponents 25-3 in recent weeks. Back Bury to win, and take the safety net.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service