Bury Town arrive at this FA Cup semi-final with three wins from five but a leaky defence that has conceded in 4 of those 5 outings. The 1-4 cup loss to St. Albans just days ago raises questions about their ability to handle a step up in class. Spalding United, by contrast, have won 4 of their last 5, scoring in all five games while conceding in only 3, and they carry a clean goal difference of plus-six across that run. The head-to-head record is unambiguous: Spalding have beaten Bury Town in both meetings this season, winning 2-1 on each occasion, both times with goals at both ends. At 2.07 the away win is the clearest price on the board. Spalding's consistency and their proven edge over this specific opponent justify a single-unit stake on the result.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.11.25 | Non League Premier | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 23.09.25 | Non League Premier | 1–2 | O2.5 |
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