Burnley arrive at round 10 in mixed form - one win, two draws and two defeats in five - but that 4-0 demolition of Watford last weekend shows the firepower is there. Charlton have not won in five, picking up three draws and two losses, and have scored in only 2 of their last 5 matches. Six absentees on each side thin the squads, but Charlton's attacking injury list looks more damaging.
Burnley have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches. Charlton have scored in just 2 of 5, managing only 2 goals across those games. The model puts a Burnley win or draw at 71 percent. Charlton have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, making a shutout a realistic outcome.
Burnley DNB at 1.23 (bet365) is the play. You are covered if the game ends level, and the price reflects a side that has been finding the net consistently against visitors who have gone quiet in front of goal.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service