Brommapojkarna arrive at round 15 without a win in their last four competitive matches, shipping eight goals across five outings. Malmo are inconsistent - a heavy home win over Goteborg, then a defeat to Elfsborg last time out - but they have scored in all five recent games. Kevin Ackermann misses for the hosts; Pontus Jansson and Anders Christiansen are absent for Malmo.
The numbers are hard to ignore. Brommapojkarna have kept zero clean sheets in five matches and conceded in all five. Malmo have scored in all five of their recent fixtures. The h2h record over the last five meetings shows BTTS landed in every single one, with 18 goals shared across those games. The model puts BTTS probability at 67%, and the market prices it at 1.50-1.53.
BTTS YES at 1.53 is the play. Both sides contribute goals in this fixture almost as a matter of routine, and the underlying numbers from form and h2h point the same direction. The alt is Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, backed by five from five in h2h and four from five in Malmo's recent games.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 26.07.25 | Allsvenskan | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 05.05.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 10.11.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 01.06.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 02.10.23 | Allsvenskan | 2–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service