Championship Round 1 at Ashton Gate. Bristol City head into the new season on the back of a League Cup home defeat to Walsall, a result that follows two friendly losses and two draws. Pre-season form is thin evidence, but the pattern is flat. Millwall arrive with a mixed pre-season of their own, two wins and two losses from five, yet they kept a clean sheet in their last outing against Antwerp.
The head-to-head numbers are the sharpest signal here. From Bristol City's perspective across the last five Championship meetings, City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3. Millwall have conceded in 4 of those 5 games, but so have City. Crucially, zero draws in five - this fixture produces a result. Both sides' recent form shows goals conceded in 4 of 5 games each, pointing to an open contest.
With no draws in five h2h meetings and Millwall holding a 3-2 edge in wins, Draw No Bet on the visitors at 1.95 (bet365) carries genuine value. The price is thin but the directional case is clear. Back Millwall DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 29.12.25 | Championship | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 06.12.25 | Championship | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.03.25 | Championship | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 17.08.24 | Championship | 4–3 | O2.5 |
| 01.01.24 | Championship | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service