Bristol City arrive at Ashton Gate having taken 3 wins from their last 5 Championship outings, scoring in all 5 of those matches. The heavy defeat to Southampton last weekend is a blot, but the underlying trend across the run shows a side comfortable putting the ball in the net. Lincoln, meanwhile, have scored in only 3 of their last 5 games across all competitions and carry three absentees - Hamer, Darikwa and Melia - into this trip.
The numbers tighten the case. Lincoln kept 3 clean sheets in 5 recent games but managed just 3 goals in that same stretch, and their over-2.5 count sits at 1 from 5. The model puts Bristol City's win probability at 43 percent and home-or-draw at 75 percent. Bristol's DNB price of 1.48 at bet365 reflects that edge without the draw risk eating your stake.
Back Bristol City Draw No Bet at 1.48. Lincoln's depleted squad and muted attacking output make them a poor bet to win here. The price is tight but the logic is clean.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.11.22 | League Cup | 1–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service