Brentwood arrive at this FA Cup semi-final in free-scoring form but with serious defensive holes. Three wins from five recent outings look healthy until you note zero clean sheets and goals conceded in all five games. Dag and Red, a step up in league level, have kept two clean sheets in their last five and conceded in only three of those matches, showing a disciplined, low-block shape that travels well in cup football.
The numbers sharpen the contrast. Brentwood averaged 13 goals scored but also 9 conceded across five games, BTTS landing every time. Dag and Red managed just 5 goals in five but kept the net clean twice and shipped only 3. Over 2.5 goals came in all five Brentwood games; for Dag and Red it arrived in only one of five. The visitors are built to frustrate.
Dag and Red at 1.55 (bet365) is the call. They carry a higher league pedigree, defend with structure and can hurt Brentwood on the break. Back the away win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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