Brann enter Round 13 of Eliteserien carrying a four-game losing run across their last five competitive and friendly outings, yet they remain heavy favourites against a Start side in equally poor nick. Both squads arrive depleted - Brann list six absentees, Start four - and the form lines tell a story of open, leaky football on both ends. Brann's only previous encounters with Start, both from 2022, ended in wins with clean sheets, which at least hints at a structural advantage at home.
The numbers are stark. Brann have conceded 10 goals across their last five matches while Start have shipped 16 in theirs, and both sides combined for goals in every one of Brann's last five games. The model puts Brann's win probability at 90%, with Over 2.5 goals priced at 1.48 and carrying a 91% model probability. All five of Brann's recent games cleared 2.5 goals.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is the play - the defences are porous, the sample is consistent, and the price still offers marginal value against a near-certain outcome. For a riskier angle, BTTS Yes at 1.67 is worth a small stake given five consecutive BTTS games for Brann.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.08.22 | 1. Division | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 07.07.22 | 1. Division | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service