Bragantino host Gremio at home in Serie A Round 24, carrying four absentees but still the cleaner head-to-head record. The Toro de Aço have gone 1W-2D-2L in their last five across all competitions, leaking six goals, yet they remain unbeaten in two meetings with Gremio, winning one and drawing one.
The numbers back caution. Bragantino scored in only 3 of their last 5 and conceded in 4 of 5, while Gremio mirror that exactly: scored in 3 of 5, conceded in 4 of 5. Both sides are low-output but porous. The model puts a home win or draw at 80%, and the h2h shows zero Bragantino losses across 2 meetings. Under 2.5 sits at 65% model probability.
At 1.27-1.36 for Bragantino DNB, the price is tight but the logic is sound. Gremio arrive missing Tete, lost 0-3 to Atletico-MG last time out, and have won just 2 of 5 recent games. Back Bragantino DNB at 1.36 (10Bet).
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 13.03.26 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.10.25 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 10.05.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 15.09.24 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 01.06.24 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service