Bragantino host Atletico-MG in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana last 16. The home side's recent form is modest - 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in five outings - but they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run and conceded in only 2 of those 5 games. Atletico arrive unbeaten in five (2W, 3D), yet have failed to score in 1 of their last 5 and carry two absentees in defence. The model gives Bragantino a 65% win probability, well above the implied 50% in the 2.00 price. Head-to-head over the last 3 meetings, Bragantino have won 2 and kept 2 clean sheets, conceding in just 1 of those contests. Both teams scored in only 1 of 3 h2h games. The low-scoring pattern and home advantage combine to support the home win. Bragantino at 2.00 offers clear value against a 65% model probability. The BTTS NO side at 1.83-1.85 is the alternative, backed by tight defensive numbers on both sides.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.02.26 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 16.11.25 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.08.25 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 22.09.24 | Serie A | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 12.06.24 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service