An FA Cup semi-final between two non-league sides at level pegging in the market. Brackley Town arrive in mixed form: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses across their last 5, conceding 11 goals in that stretch and keeping just 1 clean sheet. The home side has leaked in 4 of those 5 games. Chelmsford, by contrast, have not lost once in their last 5, picking up 4 draws and 1 win while keeping 2 clean sheets. The key number is goals. Chelmsford produced over 2.5 in just 1 of their last 5 fixtures. Brackley's defence has been porous, but Chelmsford's attack is not prolific either, scoring in 4 of 5 but averaging a modest return. The only head-to-head on record - a friendly - ended 3-2, yet cup football at this level tends to be tight and tactical. Under 2.5 goals at 1.75-1.80 looks the value line here, with Chelmsford's unbeaten run and defensive discipline making a low-scoring contest the most likely outcome.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.07.25 | Club Friendlies | 2–3 | O2.5 |
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