Botafogo arrive at this Round 26 fixture having lost four of their last five across all competitions, shipping 13 goals in the process. Palmeiras, by contrast, are unbeaten in five, with three wins and three clean sheets, conceding just twice. The scene is set for a one-sided night at Botafogo's ground.
The numbers make grim reading for the hosts. Botafogo scored in only 3 of their last 5 games and conceded in 4. Palmeiras scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in just 2. The model puts Palmeiras at a 56% win probability, and their DNB price of 1.58 (bet365) reflects real market confidence. At 2.20, the straight away win offers genuine value against a defence that has leaked 13 in five.
Palmeiras are also dealing with four injury absentees, but Botafogo carry their own two missing players into a run of form that has completely fallen apart. Back Palmeiras to win at 2.20. The alt play is BTTS YES at 1.70, given both sides have hit that market in 2 of their last 5.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 18.03.26 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 18.08.25 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 30.03.25 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.11.24 | Serie A | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 22.08.24 | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service