Matchday 3 in Serie A and the Stadio Dall'Ara smells like crisis. Bologna have lost both competitive openers without scoring a single goal, and the mood around the squad is grim before a side that has already banked two Serie A wins this season. Sassuolo arrive with momentum, a scoring record in all five recent outings, and a head-to-head ledger that shows Bologna have never beaten them in the last three meetings at home. The numbers do the talking. Bologna have scored in only 2 of their last 5 matches, kept zero clean sheets and conceded in every competitive game. Sassuolo have scored in all 5 of their recent fixtures and the h2h shows 4 BTTS in 5, with Bologna unbeaten over the series but unable to pull clear. Injuries to El Azzouzi for the hosts and Walukiewicz plus Kone for the visitors thin both squads. At 3.9, Sassuolo away is the price that fits the story. Bologna cannot score, Sassuolo can, and the model backs the visitors hard. Take Sassuolo to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 15.03.26 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 28.12.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 03.02.24 | Serie A | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 28.10.23 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 08.05.23 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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