Serie A Round 1 opens at the Dall'Ara, and Bologna step into it carrying genuine doubt. Two losses in their last two friendlies, a 1-4 home hammering by Pisa among them, plus Lucumi and Heggem already in the treatment room before a ball is kicked in anger. Lazio, meanwhile, arrive with four wins from five pre-season outings and a 14-goal haul in those five matches.
The head-to-head numbers are split right down the middle: Bologna 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses across the last five Serie A meetings. But Lazio have kept the upper hand away from home in this fixture, winning 3-0 at Bologna in November 2024. Lazio's pre-season form shows over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 games, and both sides conceded in 4 of their last 5 outings each.
Bologna's defensive absences and Lazio's attacking momentum make the visitors the call here. At 3.5 the price is generous for a side that looks the sharper unit heading into matchday one. Lazio to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.03.26 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 07.12.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 16.03.25 | Serie A | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 24.11.24 | Serie A | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 18.02.24 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
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