Bodo/Glimt arrive at Aspmyra carrying a 3-1 lead from the first leg six days ago. Their recent run is difficult to fault: 4 wins and 1 draw across the last five outings, 15 goals scored, and no defeats. Four of those five opponents saw goals at both ends, but Bodo kept two clean sheets in that stretch, including a 4-0 home demolition of Lillestrom. Nijmegen, meanwhile, have won just once in five, conceded eight and lost three times - a side short of the firepower needed to overturn this tie.
The numbers tighten the case. Bodo scored in all 5 of their last five matches; Nijmegen conceded in 4 of their last 5. Nijmegen arrive with five players absent through injury, including Perr Schuurs and Koki Ogawa. The hosts are also missing four, but their squad depth has been visible all summer.
At 1.22 (bet365), Bodo/Glimt Draw No Bet is the play. They need only avoid defeat to advance; their form, the aggregate lead, and Nijmegen's injury list all point the same way. Confidence is measured given the short price, but the logic is clean.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.08.26 | UEFA Champions League | 1–3 | O2.5 |
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