Bodo/Glimt arrive here with zero clean sheets in their last five games, conceding in all five. Three of those matches were against domestic opposition, and even then the defence leaked freely. Their sole Champions League outing in this run ended 0-5 at Bayern. Dortmund, meanwhile, are unbeaten in four straight wins from five outings, with four of those games going over 2.5 goals. Six absentees in the away camp is a concern, but their scoring record holds firm: they found the net in all five recent matches.
The key numbers point one way. Dortmund's Draw No Bet price at 1.52 (bet365) reflects a side that has not lost in five. Bodo/Glimt have kept no clean sheets across their last five, and BTTS landed in four of those. The sole head-to-head ended 2-2 in Dortmund, suggesting Bodo/Glimt can threaten, but Dortmund's defensive improvement away from home - two clean sheets in five - gives them the edge here.
Back Dortmund DNB at 1.52. The price is tight but the logic is sound: a side with four wins from five facing a leaky home defence in a competition where the quality gap is real. Alt: BTTS Yes at 1.36, given both teams have scored freely and Bodo/Glimt have conceded in every recent outing.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 10.12.25 | UEFA Champions League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
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