Two 0-0 draws in their last two Championship meetings set the tone here. Blackburn arrive at Ewood Park off a 2-2 draw at Wolves on matchday one, but carry six absentees including defenders Wharton and Jorgensen. Middlesbrough won their opener 2-1 against Lincoln, though they are missing Conway and Morris. Both sides are competitive but leaky in recent form.
The h2h record over the last two fixtures: zero goals scored, zero conceded, two clean sheets each way. Boro have kept a clean sheet in only one of their last five outings; Blackburn likewise. The totals market prices Under 2.5 at 1.80, which implies roughly 56 percent probability. Given the goalless recent head-to-head pattern and a heavy injury list for the hosts, that feels underpriced.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is the call. These sides have shown they can cancel each other out, and Blackburn's defensive injuries increase the chance of a cautious, structured contest rather than an open one. Confidence is measured given both teams did score in their respective opening Championship fixtures.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | Championship | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 26.12.25 | Championship | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 04.04.25 | Championship | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 11.01.25 | FA Cup | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.11.24 | Championship | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service