Birmingham head into Round 2 with four wins and a draw from their last five, conceding just once across that stretch. Their sole competitive fixture, a 0-0 at Sheffield United, showed a team content to keep things tight on the road. Bristol City, by contrast, have lost three of their last five and failed to score in four of those outings, including a 0-2 home defeat to Millwall on matchday one.
The numbers reinforce the gap. Birmingham kept four clean sheets in five recent matches and conceded in only one. Bristol City scored in just two of their last five and kept only one clean sheet, leaking seven goals in total. In the two head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won the home fixture 2-1 last April.
Bristol City's attacking output is simply too thin to back against a Birmingham defence in this kind of form. Draw No Bet on Birmingham at 1.36 (10Bet) covers the worst-case scenario. Alt: BTTS No at 2.10.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.04.26 | Championship | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.10.25 | Championship | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.12.23 | Championship | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.08.23 | Championship | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 14.01.23 | Championship | 4–2 | O2.5 |
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