The Estadio Benito Villamarin is buzzing right now. Betis have won four of their last five across all competitions, including a stunning 1-0 at home to Real Madrid, and they arrive into this fixture on the back of a La Liga win at Villarreal. Getafe, by contrast, limp in with one win from five, carrying four injury absentees and a squad that has drawn twice at home to newly-promoted sides. The scene is set for a Betis controlled afternoon.
The numbers back the story. Betis have scored in all 5 of their last 5 games. Getafe have conceded in 4 of their last 5. In head-to-head meetings from Betis perspective, both teams to score has happened 0 times in 2 games, suggesting a clean Betis win is the most likely shape. The model puts home win probability at 56% and under 2.5 goals at 78%, pointing to a disciplined, low-scoring Betis victory.
DNB Betis at 1.22 is the play. Yes, the price is short, but the injury list at Getafe is long, the form gap is real, and the h2h pattern screams one-sided. For the bold, BTTS No at 1.67 adds extra edge.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.03.26 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.12.25 | La Liga | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 23.02.25 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 18.09.24 | La Liga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 04.02.24 | La Liga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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