Belgium host France in UEFA Nations League A with four key absentees - Courtois, Onana, Doku and Trossard - gutting both their defensive and attacking options. France come in on a winning note, beating Turkey 1-0 last matchday, while Belgium edged Italy 2-0. The h2h record is brutal for the hosts: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last three meetings, scoring just 1 goal against 5 conceded. France's recent 5-game run shows only 1 BTTS occurrence and 3 clean sheets, pointing to a controlled, low-conceding style. Belgium have scored in just 1 of those 3 h2h fixtures. The model lines up with the market: France at 1.85-1.88 is the call. Three straight defeats to France, a depleted Belgian squad, and a French side that keeps things tight - the away win is the clear selection here at 1.87 (Betfair).
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 14.10.24 | UEFA Nations League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 09.09.24 | UEFA Nations League | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.07.24 | UEFA European Championship | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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