Bayern arrive at Matchday 1 of the Champions League in dominant domestic form: 4 wins and 1 draw in five outings, 15 goals scored, and over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 5 matches. Bodo/Glimt are five-from-five themselves but their wins came against Norwegian opposition and Nijmegen. Six players are unavailable for the visitors, thinning a squad already facing a massive step up in class. No head-to-head data exists, so the gap in squad quality is the primary input. Bayern scored 5 goals vs Stuttgart and 4 vs Osnabruck recently. Bodo/Glimt conceded in 3 of their last 5. The model points to a comfortable multi-goal win for Bayern. AH -2.5 at 1.68 (bet365) offers real value given the class gap and Glimt's depleted defensive options.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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