Leverkusen opened the Bundesliga with a defeat at Elversberg, but that single result barely dents their overall standing. Their last five across all competitions show 3 wins, 11 goals scored and they found the net in all 5 games. Union arrive having drawn 3-3 with Frankfurt on matchday one, carrying five injured players including goalkeeper Ronnow, which complicates their defensive structure immediately. Leverkusen have four absentees of their own, yet the home advantage and squad depth remain clear assets.
The head-to-head record over the last five Bundesliga meetings tells a very different story from recent form. Leverkusen hold 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in those fixtures, conceding only 2 goals total. Both teams scored in just 1 of those 5 meetings. Union have kept zero clean sheets in their last five, conceding in all of them, yet the h2h pattern suggests a tight, low-scoring contest rather than an open shootout.
Leverkusen DNB at 1.16 is thin. The better value sits on BTTS No at 2.25-2.30: h2h points firmly to one side shutting the other out, and Union's missing goalkeeper adds to that case. Back BTTS No at 2.25.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.02.26 | Bundesliga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 04.10.25 | Bundesliga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 12.04.25 | Bundesliga | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 30.11.24 | Bundesliga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 06.04.24 | Bundesliga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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