A Turkish Süper Lig heavyweight hosting a Finnish mid-table side in Conference League qualifying - the script writes itself. Basaksehir arrive having won three of their last five, scoring in all five, while Edin Visca is the only name on the injury list. Inter Turku just scraped through against Sarajevo on aggregate and drew 0-0 away at Jaro three days ago - their legs are heavy.
The numbers back the class gap hard. Basaksehir have scored 8 goals in their last 5 and conceded in only 4 of 5. Inter Turku scored in just 4 of their last 5 and kept only 2 clean sheets. The market has Basaksehir at 1.18-1.22 to win - that price is so short the only sensible vehicle is DNB, protecting against a freak draw.
DNB Basaksehir at ~1.22 (bet365) gives you the Turkish side to win or your stake back. A Finnish qualifier playing their second European tie in eight days, on the road against a squad built for continental nights - this is Basaksehir's stage. I'm on it.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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