Basaksehir walk into this Istanbul derby on the back of one win in their last five outings, leaking six goals along the way. Galatasaray, meanwhile, have won two and drawn two of their last five, rolling up 13 goals in the process - a side that has found the net in every single game of that run.
The head-to-head record tells its own story. Basaksehir have lost all three of their recent meetings with Galatasaray, scoring just once against six conceded. The model puts Gala at a 51% win probability, and the DNB price of 1.27-1.38 reflects that - yet the straight 1X2 at 1.67 offers far better value for a side with this kind of firepower and form edge.
Galatasaray away is the play. The Lions scored in all 5 of their last 5, Basaksehir are wobbling, and 1.67 is a price worth taking on a team that has dominated this fixture. Back Galatasaray to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 14.03.26 | Süper Lig | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 18.12.25 | Cup | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 18.10.25 | Süper Lig | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 30.05.25 | Süper Lig | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 12.01.25 | Süper Lig | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service