Barton Town arrive at this FA Cup semi-final on the back of three wins in five Cup outings, but that run includes a 1-6 hammering by Carlton. Chorley bring stronger recent momentum: three wins from five across Cup and league, conceding in only four of those five matches.
The numbers back Chorley firmly. Barton have scored in 4 of 5 recent games but conceded 8 goals in the same sample. Chorley scored 8 and kept one clean sheet, winning their last Cup tie 1-0 away at Warrington Rylands. The market prices Chorley at 1.30-1.38, reflecting a clear gap in quality.
Chorley away at 1.30 (bet365) is short but justified. The gap in class is real and the price is honest. Back Chorley to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service