Round 30 of Serie A and Bahia host a Mirassol side that has not lost in their last five outings. The Tricolor de Aço, however, are playing at home where they beat Internacional and Remo in recent weeks, and the model gives them a 60 percent chance of winning tonight.
Bahia scored in 4 of their last 5 games and conceded in all 5, showing a leaky but lively unit. Mirassol have kept 2 clean sheets in 5 but have also conceded in 3 of those, and in all 3 head-to-head meetings both teams scored. The h2h record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss for Bahia, with 11 combined goals across those 3 games.
The market has Bahia at 1.73 with bet365. The model edge is real, the home crowd matters, and Mirassol travel with two absentees. Back Bahia on the 1X2 at 1.73.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.04.26 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 31.08.25 | Serie A | 5–1 | O2.5 |
| 13.04.25 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service