Bahia arrive at the Arena Fonte Nova on the back of five unbeaten matches, four of them draws, with a squad that has kept three clean sheets in that run. Internacional limp in with zero wins from their last five, carrying five injury absences including goalkeeper Sergio Rochet - a squad stretched thin heading into a hostile arena.
The h2h picture backs Bahia at home: two wins and two draws in five meetings from their perspective, conceding in only three of those five. Inter have scored in just two of their last five outings and the model puts the home side at 53% to take all three points against 21% for the visitors.
With Inter this short-handed and Bahia's home fortress holding firm, the Tricolor de Aço at 1.85 is the call. It is not a generous price, but the context earns it.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 15.03.26 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 08.11.25 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 23.10.25 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.05.25 | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 04.04.25 | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service