Aveley arrive at this FA Cup last-sixteen tie having taken 3 wins from their last 5 league outings, including a 2-0 away win at Stanway most recently. Cheshunt, by contrast, have not won any of their last 5 matches, collecting 4 draws and 1 defeat. That is a side that competes but does not close games out.
The numbers reinforce the gap. Aveley scored 10 goals in 5 games, Cheshunt just 4. Head-to-head, Aveley won 3-0 at home in March 2026 and have kept a clean sheet in 1 of the last 3 meetings. Cheshunt have produced only 1 over-2.5 result in 5 outings, pointing to a contained, low-tempo away performance.
Draw No Bet on Aveley removes the stalemate risk at a reasonable price. A side that cannot win in 5 attempts rarely finds a way in a knockout tie away from home. Back Aveley DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | Non League Premier | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 24.02.26 | Non League Premier | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.08.24 | Club Friendlies | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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