Australia head into this friendly on the back of a difficult World Cup run, managing just one win in five outings and scoring in only 2 of those 5 matches. They also arrive without Mathew Leckie and Jacob Italiano, two key attacking outlets. Brazil, by contrast, scored in all 5 of their last five matches, racking up 10 goals across that span and going over 2.5 in 4 of 5 games.
Brazil's away record shows 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last five, with 10 goals scored against 4 conceded. Australia kept just 2 clean sheets in five, conceding in 3 of 5. Three key Brazil attackers are absent, including Raphinha and Paqueta, which tempers the margin but not the direction. Australia's attack is too blunt to trouble a Brazil side still carrying real quality.
The call is Brazil to win this. No odds are available in the feed, so the market price is to be confirmed. Confidence sits at 3, reflecting the friendly context and Brazil's own injury concerns up front.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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