Austin FC head into this one unbeaten in five MLS outings, but three of those results were draws and their only previous meeting with San Diego ended in a 0-5 humiliation away from home. The visitors arrive wounded after three defeats in four, yet their attack has been relentless, conceding in all five recent games while also scoring in three of them.
San Diego have shipped 12 goals in their last five but also bagged seven, and the model puts the away win at 40 percent against Austin's 36. Both teams scored in 3 of San Diego's last 5 and in 4 of Austin's last 5, pointing firmly toward goals. With Uzuni out for Austin and three key visitors injured, the squads are levelled, but the 0-5 h2h scoreline is hard to ignore.
At 2.70, San Diego away carries real value. The model backs them slightly over Austin, the h2h memory stings, and their attack - even leaky at the back - can punish a home side that has kept just one clean sheet in five. Back San Diego at 2.70.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 14.05.26 | MLS | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 01.06.25 | MLS | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 23.03.25 | MLS | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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