Atletico-MG arrive to this Belo Horizonte night unbeaten in their last five, three wins and two draws, with nine goals scored and five key players sidelined. Coritiba, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five, conceding fifteen goals across that run, and have not kept a single clean sheet in those matches. The atmosphere at home suits Galo, but their injury list is long and the squad is stretched across two competitions.
The numbers tell a brutal story for the visitors. Coritiba conceded in all five of their last five matches, while Atletico-MG scored in all five of theirs. The Galo home side have also produced over 2.5 goals in three of their last five outings. Coritiba's sole h2h result in the data shows a 2-0 win for them away, but the sample is just one game.
At 6.5, the away win carries real risk but also real reward. Atletico-MG's injury list and Coritiba's habit of scoring - they found the net in three of five recent games - keeps this alive. The main play is the Atletico-MG home win at 1.53, a solid favourite price given the form gap. The bold call: back Coritiba at 6.5.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.04.26 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 08.10.23 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 20.05.23 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 14.08.22 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 24.04.22 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service