Round 3 of Liga MX, and Atlas welcome Monterrey to Guadalajara carrying two wins from their opening league games. Monterrey arrive without a clean sheet in their last five outings and have already conceded in every single one of them.
The numbers stack up hard. Monterrey have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. The h2h backs it too: 4 of the last 5 meetings between these sides cleared 2.5, with 12 goals conceded by Atlas in those five games alone. The model puts the over 2.5 probability at 79%, and the market offers 1.85-1.95 on that line.
This is a fixture that delivers goals, and the data points one way. Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 is the call. For the bold, BTTS YES at 1.70 adds spice.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.04.26 | Liga MX | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 05.01.26 | Club Friendlies | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 27.07.25 | Liga MX | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 30.01.25 | Liga MX | 3–3 | O2.5 |
| 03.11.24 | Liga MX | 4–0 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service