Mercedes-Benz Stadium has watched Atlanta Utd rack up back-to-back MLS wins, and Sporting Kansas City rolls in having scored in just 2 of their last 5 outings. Atlanta are leaking goals too - zero clean sheets in five - but their attack keeps firing, and Kansas City's defensive record on the road is a wreck, conceding in all 5 of their recent games.
Atlanta's last 5 matches produced goals in every single game: 9 scored, 11 conceded, 5 over 2.5, and BTTS in all 5. Kansas City managed BTTS in only 2 of 5, scoring a meagre 3 goals total in that stretch. The model puts Atlanta's win probability at 64%, and DNB at 1.26-1.30 reflects a team that should handle this.
I'm backing Atlanta DNB at 1.30. If Kansas City can barely score away, Atlanta's attack at home makes this a DNB play with real meat on it.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.02.24 | Club Friendlies | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 27.02.22 | MLS | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service