Round 11 in Liga MX and Atletico San Luis welcome Santos Laguna carrying back-to-back wins in their last two outings, including a stunning 3-2 victory away at UNAM Pumas. Santos arrive in decent shape too, three wins from five, but the head-to-head record in this fixture belongs firmly to the hosts.
San Luis have won both recent meetings with Santos, 2-0 at home and 4-1 away, conceding just one goal across those two games. San Luis scored in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded in all 5, so there is bite in this attack even when the defence leaks. Santos kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 but also have two key absentees in Bruno Amione and Lucas Di Yorio. San Luis carry five injury concerns of their own, yet the home crowd and h2h dominance tilt this clearly.
The model gives San Luis a 46 percent chance of winning, with Santos at 30. At 1.95 the home win offers genuine value against a Santos side that has never found an answer here. Back San Luis to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.04.26 | Liga MX | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 22.09.25 | Liga MX | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 31.03.25 | Liga MX | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 29.09.24 | Liga MX | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 29.04.24 | Liga MX | 0–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service