Athletico-PR arrive at this Round 23 fixture riding a confident home run, three wins from their last five across all competitions and a defensive wall that has barely cracked. Bragantino travel to Curitiba in poor shape, one win in five, scoring in just 1 of their last 5 games and carrying four injury absences into the trip.
The numbers back the home side hard. Athletico kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 outings and conceded in only 1 of those. Bragantino managed just 1 goal across 5 recent games. The model puts Athletico win probability at 50 percent and under 2.5 goals at 68 percent. DNB Home at 1.45 reflects a side that controls games and rarely capitulates.
Give me Athletico-PR DNB at 1.45. Bragantino are short of goals, short of fit bodies and short of momentum. The price is honest for a home side this defensively sound.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.07.26 | Club Friendlies | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.02.26 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.12.24 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 08.08.24 | Copa do Brasil | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 01.08.24 | Copa do Brasil | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service