Athletic Bilbao come into this La Liga Round 5 fixture on a two-game winning streak in the league, including a commanding 3-0 home demolition of Atletico Madrid. Elche, meanwhile, have lost three of their last four competitive matches and shipped 12 goals in their last five outings, keeping just one clean sheet.
Bilbao have scored in 4 of their last 5 games and kept 2 clean sheets in that same run. Elche have conceded in all 4 of their last 5 matches. The model puts Bilbao's win probability at 84%, and the head-to-head shows Bilbao unbeaten in both recent meetings, winning the San Mames clash 2-1 in February.
At 1.60 on the AH -1, backing Bilbao to win by two or more goals carries real value. The home side is stronger, fresher and facing a defence that bleeds goals. That spread is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 20.02.26 | La Liga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 19.10.25 | La Liga | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 28.05.23 | La Liga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.09.22 | La Liga | 1–4 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service