Serie A Matchday 1, Bergamo. Atalanta host a Sassuolo side that dumped them out of any home comfort last season, and the Nerazzurri are hungry to set the record straight from the first whistle. Recent form tells a clear story: Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5, kept 3 clean sheets, and look defensively solid despite missing Isak Hien. Sassuolo arrive with 3 losses in 5, conceding 9 goals, and without Idzes, Walukiewicz and Kone in defence and midfield. The head-to-head over the last 5 meetings shows Atalanta winning 3, with goals flowing in 4 of those clashes. Four of those five produced over 2.5 goals, and Sassuolo conceded in 3 of their last 5 outings. Atalanta at 1.53 is a fair price for a team opening at home with revenge on their mind. I am backing the home win at that price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.03.26 | Serie A | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 09.11.25 | Serie A | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 17.02.24 | Serie A | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 03.01.24 | Coppa Italia | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 20.08.23 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
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