Bergamo in August, and Atalanta are purring. Four wins from five across Serie A and Europe, conceding just once in that run, with four clean sheets already banked. Bologna arrive off the back of an opening-day loss to Lazio and a pre-season that offered more questions than answers, losing three of their last five.
The numbers back the eye test hard. Atalanta have kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 outings and conceded in just 1 of those 5. Bologna scored in only 3 of their last 5 matches. In five head-to-heads, not one game has gone over 2.5 goals, and Bologna have failed to score in 3 of those meetings. Four Atalanta players are sidelined, but the system runs itself.
Bologna at 4.00 is a mirage. Atalanta at 1.91 (Marathon) is the price. The hosts are dominant, compact and at home. Commit to the win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.05.26 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 07.01.26 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 13.04.25 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 04.02.25 | Coppa Italia | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 28.09.24 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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